The California Department of Public Health's new data modeling tool California COVID Assessment Tool (CALCAT) presents the following estimates from multiple sources in one location.
Please keep in mind that the accuracy of projections and estimates depends on the accuracy of assumptions and limited knowledge, which change as experts learn more about SARS-CoV-2.
- Nowcasts: Estimates of how fast COVID-19 is spreading in California and select counties.
- Forecasts: Projections of COVID-19 hospitalizations and deaths in the next 2-4 weeks.
- Scenarios: Long-term estimates of COVID-19 hospitalizations and deaths under different hypothetical scenarios, for example, fast-paced re-opening or slow-paced re-opening.
Please keep in mind that the accuracy of projections and estimates depends on the accuracy of assumptions and limited knowledge, which change as experts learn more about SARS-CoV-2.
Instructions to generate interactive Scenarios using the CalCAT tool
STEP 1: Access tool on https://calcat.covid19.ca.gov/cacovidmodels/
STEP 2: Click Scenarios icon
STEP 3: Select Alameda from "Please select Georaphy" drop-down list
STEP 4: Click the "Select Scenario" drop down menu further down, then select:
- Johns Hopkins: Slow-paced Reopening
- Johns Hopkins: Moderate-paced Reopening
- Johns Hopkins: Moderate-paced Reopening
Deselect all other items.
Note: The CalCAT tool is interactive and offers other scenario models.
